Anka Research

Where Geopolitics Meets Indian Equities

AI-powered global regime detection and spread trading signals. 31 ETFs across 8 asset classes feed a single regime score every morning before Indian markets open.

31
Global ETFs Tracked
716
Days Backtested
62.3%
Directional Accuracy
5
Regime Zones
Score:
Updated:
Top drivers
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How the Global Regime Score Works

1. Overnight Global Scan
Every morning at 4:30 AM IST, before Indian markets open, the engine reads what happened overnight across 31 global ETFs — credit appetite (HYG), equity flows (SPY, EEM), volatility (VIX), currencies (UUP, FXY), and commodities (USO, GLD).
2. Data-Driven Weights
Each ETF's weight was determined by 2,000 automated experiments (not hand-picked). The strongest predictor of Indian markets isn't the S&P 500 — it's high-yield corporate bonds. When global credit appetite is strong, India follows the next day.
3. Five Regime Zones
The composite score maps to five zones: RISK-OFF (15% up rate), CAUTION (38%), NEUTRAL (55%), RISK-ON (72%), and EUPHORIA (82% up rate). We only trade when the signal is in the extremes.
4. Validation
62.3% directional accuracy across 716 days. Outperforms 100% of random weight simulations. Confirmed by 12-fold walk-forward cross-validation. Currently in live shadow validation through May 5, 2026. Full research paper →

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How It Works

1

Scan

RSS + news feeds scanned every 30 minutes for geopolitical and macro events

2

Classify

Events classified into 18 categories: escalation, sanctions, oil shocks, rate decisions, and more

3

Match

Matched to 25 spread pairs with backtest-validated hit rates across 90+ historical events

4

Signal

Signals published to the live terminal with data-driven stop levels and P&L tracking